Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.044702 0.052250 0.060555 0.070350 0.081571 0.094001 0.108798
2025-03-09 0.033368 0.043223 0.055084 0.070337 0.089351 0.112183 0.141580
2025-03-16 0.024770 0.035212 0.048836 0.067743 0.093111 0.125746 0.170650
2025-03-23 0.020680 0.031896 0.047590 0.070845 0.104046 0.149290 0.215047
2025-03-30 0.016915 0.028143 0.044901 0.071255 0.111048 0.168126 0.255185
2025-04-06 0.013587 0.024291 0.041267 0.069486 0.114348 0.181771 0.289195
2025-04-13 0.011141 0.021305 0.038361 0.068199 0.117915 0.195851 0.324974
2025-04-20 0.010010 0.020307 0.038458 0.071641 0.129197 0.222708 0.382827
2025-04-27 0.008941 0.019193 0.038130 0.074221 0.139218 0.248387 0.441093
2025-05-04 0.007472 0.017013 0.035511 0.072301 0.141146 0.260731 0.478385
2025-05-11 0.006411 0.015434 0.033741 0.071629 0.145083 0.276677 0.522976
2025-05-18 0.005375 0.013690 0.031351 0.069379 0.145735 0.286750 0.558003
2025-05-25 0.004542 0.012247 0.029383 0.067772 0.147580 0.299447 0.599515
2025-06-01 0.004018 0.011422 0.028598 0.068492 0.154082 0.321400 0.660034
2025-06-08 0.003374 0.010154 0.026609 0.066327 0.154421 0.331582 0.699257
2025-06-15 0.003154 0.009941 0.027028 0.069566 0.166455 0.365733 0.787613
2025-06-22 0.002806 0.009299 0.026307 0.070072 0.172618 0.388625 0.855620
2025-06-29 0.002399 0.008391 0.024760 0.068380 0.173678 0.401083 0.903592
2025-07-06 0.002072 0.007638 0.023478 0.067138 0.175581 0.415416 0.956506
2025-07-13 0.001968 0.007563 0.024006 0.070545 0.188740 0.455018 1.065498
2025-07-20 0.001839 0.007377 0.024196 0.073096 0.200110 0.491621 1.170809
2025-07-27 0.001581 0.006682 0.022801 0.071207 0.200367 0.503447 1.223245
2025-08-03 0.001394 0.006185 0.021904 0.070546 0.203611 0.522294 1.292572